WTA Championships — Final (Istanbul, Turkey)

Serena Williams:  – 400

Maria Sharapova:  + 300

…………..

ATP Swiss Indoor — Final (Basel, Switzerland)

Roger Federer:  – 360

Juan Martin Del Potro:  + 280

………….

ATP Valencia Pen — Final (Valencia, Spain)

David Ferrer:  – 300

Alexandr Dolgopolov Jr. :  + 220

………..

Serena dominates Sharapova, and has looked amazing this week.  Sharapova upset Azarenka yesterday, which is going to be her finest moment in Istanbul.  Serena on a fast indoor court is a nightmare for Masha, who will not withstand Serena’s power, in our mind.  We are very comfortable going with Serena here, despite the big money line.

Roger, we think, looks to make it a 7th in his home town.  We like the new track they laid down in Basel, witch, people should know, is the place where Albert Hoffman invented LSD.  Kudos to Albert and Basel for that.  As for tomorrow, we feel it’s been a sluggish week for Roger, and we’ve seen him lose the Basel final before (Djokovic, 2009).  Del Potro sure does give Roger a lot of problems.  We would not have a problem going with the dog here, as not often will JMDP be such a big dog, and he certainly has a very good chance against anyone on earth, and probably plays the big 3 better than anyone including Andy Murray.  But we are obviously pulling for Roger, who should have a very good chance to excel down the stretch this year with very favorable conditions staring at him here, in Paris, and in London for the YEC.

In Valencia, we feel it is so rare that David Ferrer loses to a lesser ranked player, but can’t see laying 3 to win 1 on Ferrer, who really has to work so hard indoors.  This is one of those times where you ask, might a David Ferrer be fatigued, because he grinds so much and it’s so late in the year.  And this week alone, he’s played a lot of tennis.  Quite a match he survived today versus Dodig.  But Dolgopolov is really a mirror image player, a poor man’s Ferrer.  We expect Ferrer and so we won’t touch it.  We’d also say that Ferrer deserves a nice indoor title on his home soil as a deserving reward for playing hard for so long.

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