2013 Australian Open Men’s Final, January 27th 2013
Novak Djokovic: – 220
Andy Murray: + 170
Djokovic leads the h2h 10-7, and defeated Murray here in the 2011 final and the 2012 semi-final in 5 sets. Djokovic holds an 8-6 lead on hard courts. Murray holds a 4-3 lead in finals though, with one of the wins coming on a 2nd set retirement by Djokovic in Cincinnati, 2011. In major finals, they have split two meetings, with Murray winning the last to take the 2012 US Open. They have each taken one five setter from the other, both last year (SFs @ Melbourne, USO F).
While we like Djokovic, it would be hard to argue that Murray is not a good bet at (+170). By making the semis, Djokovic has guaranteed that he’ll retain the world’s top spot on Monday. If Djokovic wins, he will become the first player in the modern era to win 3 successive Aussie crowns.